Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.359566 0.468500 0.587189 0.724273 0.876583 1.039175 1.224497
2025-08-24 0.174674 0.305157 0.466403 0.670439 0.913745 1.188168 1.515337
2025-08-31 0.097614 0.228146 0.408249 0.651930 0.956148 1.310631 1.743857
2025-09-07 0.056006 0.182966 0.378736 0.659395 1.022669 1.456295 1.995632
2025-09-14 0.027075 0.142066 0.344599 0.652597 1.064990 1.567927 2.202986
2025-09-21 0.008920 0.105261 0.307287 0.634827 1.088447 1.653050 2.375939
2025-09-28 0.003889 0.095763 0.311659 0.674258 1.185247 1.827725 2.655885
2025-10-05 0.001516 0.091096 0.323055 0.723192 1.294266 2.017488 2.954158
2025-10-12 0.000161 0.083412 0.326943 0.759826 1.386142 2.185412 3.225732
2025-10-19 NaN 0.083461 0.345560 0.818906 1.508599 2.392166 3.545085
2025-10-26 NaN 0.079353 0.354667 0.862720 1.609920 2.572036 3.831543
2025-11-02 NaN 0.066590 0.342654 0.871792 1.662402 2.689069 4.040315
2025-11-09 NaN 0.041156 0.294700 0.821482 1.633532 2.705260 4.130116
2025-11-16 NaN 0.020903 0.246095 0.764171 1.591558 2.702861 4.196180
2025-11-23 NaN 0.011561 0.221265 0.744255 1.600798 2.765157 4.340988
2025-11-30 NaN 0.007431 0.212359 0.752280 1.650700 2.881014 4.553323
2025-12-07 NaN 0.003404 0.196437 0.744986 1.676555 2.964101 4.723605
2025-12-14 NaN 0.000686 0.175915 0.725925 1.683077 3.020289 4.858947
2025-12-21 NaN 0.000622 0.185145 0.768201 1.784438 3.205151 5.159368
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000803 0.199110 0.820559 1.901624 3.411706 5.487868
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000657 0.206782 0.859685 1.998301 3.590492 5.780881
2026-01-11 NaN 0.001113 0.225723 0.922666 2.132240 3.820122 6.139401
2026-01-18 NaN 0.001139 0.236876 0.969288 2.240808 4.015368 6.453932